The Receipt

Why Is Everything Still So Expensive? · 5 minutes 27 seconds · published 29 September 2026 · figures current to August 2026

Film oneThe Affordability Problem · 8:35 →Film two · you are hereThe Receipt · 5:27

Every figure in the film

Each one, what it's built from, and the date it's true as of. These are the film's figures as it was cut, frozen at the August 2026 data. The rest of this site shows today's. Nothing here is a forecast.

FigureValueSeriesAs of
The eleven items, October 2019$26.77APU… × 11Oct 2019
The eleven items, today$42.09APU… × 11Aug 2026
— the difference+$15.32, +57.2%derivedAug 2026
The same list, 2012 → 2019$28.59 → $26.70, −6.6%APU… × 11, yearly averages2012 / 2019
Money supply, before Covid$15.2TM2SLOct 2019
Money supply, today$23.3TM2SLAug 2026
— more dollars+$8.2T, +54%derivedAug 2026
Typical rent, October 2019$1,394ZORI (Zillow)Oct 2019
Typical rent, today$1,948ZORIAug 2026
— the increase+$554 a monthderivedAug 2026
How fast rent rose, October on October+14.0% (2021) → +2.1% (2025); today +2.5%ZORIOct 2021 – Aug 2026
Typical full-time pay$936 → $1,251 a weekLEU0252881500QQ4 2019 / Q2 2026
— the raise, a year+$16,380derived, ×52Q2 2026
A 5% raise, after tax at the margin3.5%22% federal + 7.65% payrollworked case
The raise, after tax$11,52322% federal + 7.65% payrollworked case
The rent increase, a year$6,648ZORI ×12Aug 2026
— its share of the raise that reached you58%derivedAug 2026
What is left of the raise$4,875 a year, about $94 a weekderivedAug 2026
Eggs, peak$6.23APU0000708111Mar 2025
Eggs, today$2.27APU0000708111Aug 2026
— off the peak−63.5%, in 17 monthsderivedAug 2026
— against October 2019+77.2% ($1.28 → $2.27)derivedAug 2026
Foods more than 10% below their own peakfour of eight: eggs −63.5%, bacon −13.2%, chicken −12.1%, bread −10.3%APU…, peak since Jan 2019Aug 2026
Items back to their October 2019 pricenone of elevenAPU… × 11Aug 2026
Hens lost, first wavemore than 29 millionUSDA ERS, Charts of Note 103873by 2 May 2022
Hens lost, second wave30.6 millionUSDA AMS, Egg Markets Overviewby 21 Apr 2025

The receipt, line by line

One of each, at the sizes BLS publishes. Each price is rounded to the cent; the totals are the sums of the unrounded prices, so the printed lines can differ from the total by a cent or two.

ItemOct 2019Aug 2026Series
Eggs, Dozen$1.28$2.27APU0000708111
Milk, Gallon$3.12$4.23APU0000709112
Bread, lb$1.33$1.82APU0000702111
Coffee, lb$4.17$9.30APU0000717311
Bacon, lb$5.65$6.61APU0000704111
Ground Beef, lb$3.84$6.92APU0000703112
Chicken Breast, lb$2.95$4.17APU0000FF1101
Bananas, lb$0.57$0.65APU0000711211
Gasoline, Gallon$2.67$4.20APU000074714
Electricity, kWh$0.14$0.20APU000072610
Natural Gas, Therm$1.04$1.71APU000072620
Total$26.77$42.09sum of unrounded prices

Sources

All public, all free to check. Append any code to fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ to pull it yourself.

WhatPublisherSeries
The eleven pricesBureau of Labor Statistics, Average Price Data, US city averageAPU… (above)
Money supplyFederal Reserve, H.6, M2, seasonally adjustedM2SL
RentZillow Observed Rent Index, US, all homes plus multifamily — not a government seriesZORI
PayBLS, usual weekly earnings, full-time wage and salary workers (the median)LEU0252881500Q
Hen lossesUSDA Economic Research Service; USDA Agricultural Marketing Servicesee above

Method

A receipt, not an index

A fixed list of eleven named items, one of each, unweighted. Both totals are single months, October 2019 and August 2026. The 2012–2019 comparison uses yearly averages, because October 2012 has no ground-beef price.

One start line

Prices, money, pay and rent all start in October 2019, the same month the first film uses. “Before Covid” means October 2019. “Today” is the latest month published when the film was cut.

Rent

Asking rent: what a place lists for if you move, not what a sitting tenant pays on renewal. Yearly rates are October on October; the last bar is August 2026 on August 2025. Zillow revised its whole series in September 2026; the film uses the revised figures.

The tax on a raise

One worked case: a 22% federal bracket plus 7.65% payroll tax, applied to the raise, because a raise sits at the top of your income. Your bracket and your state change it.

Counts

“Four of the eight foods” is computed, not asserted: each food's latest price against its own peak since January 2019. Bread sits at −10.3%, close to the 10% line. If a later month moves the count, that goes under Updates, not into the film.

Inflation

Nothing here is adjusted, deflated or reweighted. These are the published prices, added up.

Updates

None yet. The film is fixed at the August 2026 data; the rest of the site moves every month. When a figure the film states as current moves, it is recorded here.

Corrections

None yet. When there are, they appear here — what was wrong, what it is now, and the date it changed. Nothing gets quietly edited. Found an error? Say so in the comments on the film, and cite the series.